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Mid-Year Risk Outlook 2025: What Are Global Businesses Facing?

June 19, 2025

Label:

Due diligence

pre-IPO DD

Pre-IPO due diligence

As we pass the halfway mark of 2025, it’s time to reflect on the evolving global landscape and the key risk trends that continue to challenge businesses worldwide. Here are six major areas of concern we’ve identified:


Geopolitical and Trade Tensions

  • Ongoing war in Ukraine and instability in the Middle East

  • Intensified U.S.-China trade frictions and tariff barriers

  • Supply chain shifts and manufacturing relocation

Global Economic Slowdown

  • Persistently high interest rates in the U.S. and Europe are curbing consumption and investment

  • China is undergoing structural adjustments, with lingering risks in real estate and local government debt

  • Inflation and stagflation pressures coexist, adding uncertainty to raw material prices and financing costs


Regulatory Pressure and Policy Volatility

  • Growing scrutiny on cross-border data, AI compliance, antitrust, and ESG

  • Rising global compliance barriers complicate expansion and capital operations for multinational firms


Third-Party and Supply Chain Risks

  • Strategic vulnerabilities in critical materials, semiconductors, and energy

  • Delivery disruptions persist due to logistics uncertainties (e.g. Red Sea, Panama Canal issues)

Tech & Cybersecurity Threats

  • AI, deepfake, and data privacy challenges are creating new ethical and legal risks

  • Ransomware and cyberattacks are expanding globally, threatening enterprise IT systems

  • Generative AI is being misused in fraud, fake profiles, and résumé falsification — making background checks and partner vetting more complex

Talent & Organizational Risk

  • Cross-border movement of top talent is increasingly restricted; AI-driven role changes are fueling internal anxiety

  • Gen Z employees prioritize value alignment, making corporate reputation a key talent magnet

  • Remote work and global teams bring cultural friction and governance challenges


    As risk becomes more multi-dimensional and unpredictable, how is your organization adapting in 2025? Let’s connect and share insights.


Disclaimer: Certain images or references used in this article are sourced from publicly available materials. We respect intellectual property rights, and any rightful owner may contact us for content removal.(jielang.liu@aegismanage.com

Catalogue
  • Geopolitical and Trade Tensions
  • Global Economic Slowdown
  • Regulatory Pressure and Policy Volatility
  • Third-Party and Supply Chain Risks
  • Tech & Cybersecurity Threats
  • Talent & Organizational Risk
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